<h2><SPAN name="CHAPTER_XV" id="CHAPTER_XV"></SPAN>CHAPTER XV</h2>
<h3>The Missing Facts</h3>
<p>Dr. Miller's conversation with Jethro Collins was something less than
satisfactory. He told the boys about it on the way home.</p>
<p>"I told him bluntly that I was suspicious about his offer because the
property he wants to buy has little value as farm land and contains no
timber or anything else of commercial value. I told him I wouldn't
consider an offer until I knew what the land was to be used for."</p>
<p>The scientist chuckled. "That was my way of putting him on a spot, of
course. But he refused to be cornered. He replied that his customer
wanted the land for reasons of his own, which it was not Collins' place
to divulge. He assured me the land would not be used for commercial
purposes, so my own property would be quite safe.</p>
<p>"I replied that I needed more assurances than his word, and demanded to
know the identity of his client. I pointed out that the name would
become known during the process of settlement anyway, unless his client
proposed to use a dummy of some sort in which to register the deed to
the land."</p>
<p>"But he wouldn't tell you the name," Rick guessed.</p>
<p>"Correct. My guess is that he would use a dummy of some sort, perhaps
even Collins himself as nominal owner of the land."</p>
<p>Scotty offered, "People don't buy land unless it has some value for
something. Can't you think of any way in which your land has value?"</p>
<p>"I'm afraid not. I've tried to puzzle it out, with no success. The field
itself is all right, if fertilized and limed, but the rest is worthless
for farming. There isn't even an access road. The road leading into the
picnic area and across the creek to the house is my own property. It's a
private road."</p>
<p>Rick kept wondering about the radioactive ore. "Could there be any
minerals worth mining?"</p>
<p>"Not even that, Rick. Except for the igneous outcropping in which the
mine is located, this whole valley is sedimentary rock, probably for a
depth of several hundred feet. Even the foothills are the same kind of
rock. They were moved upward from what is now the valley during a shift
in the earth's crust. The faults in the formation show this clearly."</p>
<p>"The whole business is tied together somehow," Rick said with
conviction. "So far we've been trying to follow threads. We come across
other threads that seem to run crossways, but that's because what we're
trying to see is a whole piece of cloth, not just the threads. So far we
don't know if the cloth is a whole suit or just a handkerchief."</p>
<p>"The metaphor is a little obscure, but I get your meaning, and I agree."
Dr. Miller drew to a stop in the driveway of his home. "Suppose we have
a late morning bit of refreshment and use our heads instead of our
legs?"</p>
<p>At the scientist's request, the girls produced a snack of toast and jam
with iced tea and soft drinks. Mrs. Miller begged to be excused from the
council because of housework to be done, but the others gathered in the
living room to explore the mystery from every angle.</p>
<p>Dr. Miller led the discussion. The scientist was obviously intrigued by
the problem, even though he had let the boys handle things in their own
way. As he explained with a twinkle, "Rick and Scotty have reputations
as detectives to maintain. I'm a poor, simple physicist. No one expects
me to solve this mystery. So the boys have to be given first chance to
bring the ghost to bay."</p>
<p>Barby sniffed. "You're all pretty sure the ghost is a fake."</p>
<p>"And you're not," Rick observed. "I guess we'll have to put him in a
bottle for you before you'll believe it."</p>
<p>"Peace," Dr. Miller interposed. "Each to his or her own opinions. We're
here in pursuit of facts, not fancies. Rick, you're first at bat."</p>
<p>Rick considered. What were the most important facts? They had been
working on assumptions, but assumptions need proof before they can be
accepted as valid.</p>
<p>"Well, I'm not sure I'm listing the facts in order of importance, but
I'll try. First, the ghosts that walk the fields at night are humans."</p>
<p>Barby interrupted. "How can you be certain?"</p>
<p>"They looked human. We saw their silhouettes against the sky clearly
enough to see their shapes, and they were human shapes." As she started
to speak again, he held up his hand. "Whoa! Let me finish. Ghosts also
have human shapes is probably your counterargument. I'm not arguing that
ghosts don't really exist, but if they do, they are supposed to be sort
of nonsolid, aren't they? Like the Blue Ghost at the mine. But the field
ones were solid enough. No light showed through them."</p>
<p>"Not all ghosts are transparent," Barby insisted.</p>
<p>"She's got you." Dr. Miller chuckled.</p>
<p>Scotty spoke up. "Ghosts do not drive cars."</p>
<p>"And you've no proof the ghosts you saw in the field came from the car,"
Barby defended hotly. "Did you see them get in the car and drive away?"</p>
<p>Scotty held up his hands in surrender. "No. I passed them on my way back
from the car."</p>
<p>"Evidence not sufficient," Dr. Miller said with a grin. "The ghosts may
or may not be human. Your first fact needs more proof, Rick. Carry on."</p>
<p>Rick sighed. "All right. I'll start over again. First, we have uncovered
cement bags that contained radioactive ore, pulverized into a fine dust.
I'll amend that. The bags contain a small quantity of radioactive ore,
which gives some reason for believing they were once full of such ore."</p>
<p>The group laughed. "Now you're on the beam," Dr. Miller approved. "State
only what you know as fact and identify what you infer from the facts as
inference or speculation."</p>
<p>"Glad you all approve. Second, we believe the Frostola man was
interested in the cement bag Scotty carried. It is a fact that when we
returned from town the cement bag that we put in the trash can, and the
cement bags we left where we found them, had been removed. Because of
the Frostola man's apparent interest, we are of the opinion he took the
bags."</p>
<p>Jan Miller giggled. "You sound like a lawyer."</p>
<p>"I feel like one," Rick returned with a grin.</p>
<p>"Third, the Blue Ghost led Scotty and me on a wild chase that ended up
with me dropping into the quarry. The facts are that the ghost somehow
triggered the plane alarm. We will not argue whether or not a real ghost
could have set off a purely physical, nonspiritual alarm."</p>
<p>Barby nodded soberly, but there was a twinkle in her blue eyes.</p>
<p>"Continuing with the facts of that incident, the ghost stayed ahead of
us without difficulty. A real ghost could have done that, I suppose, but
so could any person in reasonable physical shape who knew the terrain.
Now, the ghost's light went off as he reached the edge of the quarry, or
somewhere in the vicinity of the edge."</p>
<p>Rick looked at his sister. "I will stipulate that a real ghost need not
have any reason for his actions. But a person imitating a ghost would
have had to turn off his light in order to go around the quarry,
otherwise we would have seen that he made a detour. A ghost would
presumably float right over the quarry."</p>
<p>"Ghosts do float," Barby agreed solemnly.</p>
<p>"Uh-uh. Since this one did not, and since it reappeared—or the light
did—on the opposite side of the quarry, we believe there was a
deliberate attempt to lead us into said quarry."</p>
<p>He paused and took a deep breath. "How am I doing, coach?"</p>
<p>Dr. Miller nodded approval. "Fine. See how easy it is to separate fact
and conjecture?"</p>
<p>"So what do we conclude from this one event? We conclude it is
reasonable to believe that a person, and not a spook, triggered the
plane alarm and led us to the quarry. We speculate that the person did
not know about the alarm and set it off by accident, probably while
inspecting the plane, since we see nothing to be gained by sabotage. We
speculate that the chase was to frighten us, not primarily to harm us,
the reason being that we rushed the ghost during the ghost act and are
therefore potentially dangerous. We reach this conclusion because the
ghost picked a side of the quarry where we would land in the water,
which is plenty deep by the way, and not on the rocks."</p>
<p>"Okay. Scotty, take over. I'm worn out from trying to be precise."</p>
<p>The scientist grinned. "Lack of practice, I'm afraid. If we all sought
precision in our speech many of the world's misunderstandings could be
avoided."</p>
<p>"I don't know what we can say," Scotty objected. "We have few facts. We
have only some observations. We can try to interpret our observations,
but we can't prove them. For instance, there is the fact that we were
given a bath of something by the Blue Ghost that seemed to freeze our
faces. There is the fact that the Frostola man bought a quantity of
methyl chloride. There is the fact that methyl chloride could have
produced the effect we felt. But how can we say that it's a fact that
the Frostola man somehow doused us with chemical?"</p>
<p>"You can't," Jan Miller agreed.</p>
<p>"So if we stick to demonstrable facts, we don't get far," the scientist
concluded. "But can we settle for mere speculation?"</p>
<p>"No, sir," Rick stated. "But let's admit that speculation has its uses.
After all, circumstantial evidence is permitted in court. Speculation
can give us the circumstances that need to be proved, and that tells us
where to put our efforts. I think that's fair enough."</p>
<p>"So do I," Dr. Miller agreed.</p>
<p>Rick arose. "Then we'll continue working the way we've been doing it.
It's not the best way, but at least we're uncovering little items that
can be tied together if we find just two missing facts."</p>
<p>"Like what?" Barby demanded.</p>
<p>"We go back to our assumption that the ghost is man-made. On this
assumption, the things we need to know are <i>how</i> and <i>why</i> is the ghost
produced?"</p>
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