<SPAN name="chapter_ix"></SPAN>
<h2 class="chapter_title"><span class="chapter_number">IX</span><br/> What Figures Show</h2>
<p class="chapter_summary">
Panics are caused by spiritual causes rather
than financial. Prosperity is the result of righteousness
rather than of material things.</p>
<p class="first_paragraph"><span class="first_word">The</span> large black areas on the adjoining
chart are formed by combining
and plotting current figures
on New Building, Crops, Clearings,
Immigration, Total Foreign Trade,
Money, Failures, Commodity Prices,
Railroad Earnings, Stock Prices and
Politics in order to give a composite view
of business in the United States. (When
Interstate Commerce reports of earnings
of all United States railroads became
available, January, 1909, this record was
substituted in place of the earnings of ten
representative roads which had been used
previous to that time. Revised scales for
monetary figures were also introduced, in
August, 1912.)</p>
<p>The line X-Y represents the country’s
net gain or growth. Based on the economic
theory that “action and reaction
are equal when the two factors of time and
intensity are multiplied to form an area,”
<SPAN href="images/composite_plot.png" title="Large version of chart"><ANTIMG class="image" src="images/composite_plot_thumbnail.png" width-obs="200" height-obs="128" alt="Thumbnail version of chart described in text." /></SPAN>
the sums of the areas above and below said
line X-Y must, over sufficiently long periods
of time, be equal, provided enough
subjects are included, properly weighed
and combined. An area of prosperity is
always followed by an area of depression;
an area of depression in turn is always followed
by an area of prosperity. The
areas, however, need not have the same
shapes.</p>
<p>It will be seen that each area is divided
into halves by a narrow white line. This
is to emphasize the fact that the first halves
of areas below the X-Y line are really
reactions from the extravagance, inefficiency
and corruption which existed during
the latter half of the preceding
“prosperity” area. Contrariwise, the
first halves of areas above the X-Y line
are really reactions from the economy, industry
and righteousness developed during
the hard times just preceding. The
high points of the stock market have come
in the early part of the prosperity areas
and the low points have come about the
beginning of the depression areas. In
1914 the war held down prices of all securities.
The highest prices of bonds have
usually come about the end of the depression
areas and high money rates, and lowest
bond prices at about the end of the
prosperity areas.</p>
<p>But what causes these fluctuations in
business and prices? Statistics show that
panics are caused by spiritual causes,
rather than financial, and that prosperity
is the result of righteousness rather than
of material things. Hence, the importance
to industry and commerce of the
forces already mentioned. These spiritual
forces are the true fundamentals of
prosperity. This in turn leads us to consider
from where they come and upon
what we are to depend for their further
development. The following pages will
give the answer.</p>
<p class="thought_break">******</p>
<p>What are the sources of these fundamentals
of prosperity? Where do we get
this faith, integrity, industry, coöperation
and interest in the soul of man upon which
civilization is based?</p>
<p>As already explained, we do not get it
from the raw materials. We have always
had the raw materials. We do not get it
from education. From a statistical point
of view Germany is the best educated
country in the world. It has the least
illiteracy. It has the largest percentage
of scientific culture. No, these three fundamentals
do not come from education.
They do not come from the inheritance of
property. I mentioned in the preceding
pages the investigation we made of leading
captains of industry in America, the men
who head the various greatest industries
in this country. Out of this group of
men, only ten per cent. inherited their
business, while only fifteen per cent. received
special education. This shows that
the source of these qualities is from something
more than wealth or education.</p>
<p>We are striving and even slaving to lay
up property for our children, when statistics
clearly show that the more we lay up
for them the worse off they are going to
be. If statistics demonstrate any one
thing, they demonstrate that the less
money we leave our children the better off
they will be; not only spiritually and physically,
but also financially. When it
comes to the question of education, we
work and economize to give our children
an education and to send our children to
college. Yet statistics show that only a
small percentage of these leading business
men are college graduates.</p>
<p>The success of individuals, the success
of communities, the success of nations, depends
on these fundamentals,—integrity,
faith, industry, brotherly kindness and an
interest in the soul of man. To what do
we owe these great fundamental qualities?
<em>Statistics show clearly that we owe them
to religion.</em> Yes, and to the old-fashioned
religion of our forefathers. Moreover, I
say this not as a churchman. I would
give the same message if I were speaking
to a group of bankers or a group of engineers.
I was first brought into the Church
through the Christian Endeavour Society,
but I was really converted to the Bible
teachings through a study of statistics.</p>
<p>To religion we owe our civilization and
to the Church we owe our religion. All
there is in the world to-day that is worth
while comes from men filled with, and
from groups actuated by, these fundamentals
of integrity, faith, industry,
brotherly love and those other factors
which come only through God. The
Church to-day deserves the credit for
keeping these factors before the world.
Hence, it is evident that the people of
America have not the bankers to thank
for their security and prosperity, but
rather the preachers and the churches.
To these men we are obligated for our
growth and development.</p>
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