<h2><SPAN name="LESSON_XI" id="LESSON_XI"></SPAN><span class="lght">LESSON XI</span><br/> THE FETICH OF THE BIRTH-RATE</h2>
<p>To the student of the progress of the human race the
consideration of the state of public opinion regarding
the Birth-rate of nations is of great interest. To the
careful observer there is evident the gradual evolution
of intelligent public opinion on this subject even in the
comparatively short space of time in which the present
generation has played its part on the great stage of
human development.</p>
<p>Public opinion on this subject during the period
named may be said to have passed through three general
stages. These stages are, of course, more clearly defined
among the peoples of the most prosperous and intelligent
countries, as for instance, in Western Europe and America,
and particularly in England, France, and the United
States. While the peoples of certain of these countries
have passed through these stages somewhat more rapidly
than have others, still it is perceived that each of these
peoples have in the main followed the same general
course.</p>
<p>The first stage of this evolution of popular opinion
may be said to have been begun about 1850, and to have
ended about 1880. In this stage the ideal of a large and
rapidly increasing birth-rate became a popular fetich
before which all men and women were supposed to fall
down and render worship. In this period public opinion
manifested great satisfaction and joy in the evidences
of a high and rapidly increasing birth-rate. It was held
that this increasing birth-rate tended toward the success
and glory of the particular nation, and incidentally to
the race as a whole. The idea of <b>Quantity</b> was elevated<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_146" id="Page_146">{146}</SPAN></span>
to the throne of public favor, and the question of <b>Quality</b>
was ignored or overlooked.</p>
<p>This period was one of an unusual expansion of industry,
and the rising birth-rate was regarded as a token
that the world was destined to be exploited and eventually
governed by the people of those nations who were
able to demonstrate the greatest efficiency in industrial
pursuits, and who at the same time were wise enough
to increase their respective populations by an increasing
birth-rate. The populace were excited by the idea of the
dominance and prosperity of their own countrymen, while
the leaders of industry were delighted with the idea of
an increasing supply of laborers which would tend to
keep down the rate of wages which otherwise would have
reached proportions which would have interfered with
competition with other countries. At the same time, the
militarists were secretly delighted by the signs of an
increasing supply of military material with which to
build up gigantic armies.</p>
<p>A writer on the state of public opinion on this subject
during this period has well said: "It seemed to the
more exuberant spirits that a vast British Empire, or a
mighty Pan-German, might be expected to cover the
whole world. France, with its low and falling birth-rate,
was looked down at with a contempt as a decadent country
inhabited with a degenerate population. No attempt
to analyze the birth-rate, to ascertain what are really the
biological, social, and economic accompaniments of a high
birth-rate, made any impression on the popular mind.
They were drowned in a general shout of exultation."</p>
<p>But this period of uncritical optimism was followed
by a natural reaction. The pendulum stopped in its
course, and soon began to swing in the opposite direction.
Here, about 1880, the second stage may be said
to have begun. Public opinion began to manifest a subtle<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_147" id="Page_147">{147}</SPAN></span>
change, and this mental attitude was accompanied by a
physical manifestation in the form of a decreasing birth-rate.
The rate of births began to fall rapidly, and has
continued to fall steadily since that time.</p>
<p>The writer above quoted from says of this second
period: "In France the birth-rate fell slowly, in Italy
more rapidly, and in England and Prussia still more rapidly.
As, however, the fall began earliest in France, the
birth-rate was lower there than in the other countries
named. For the same reason it was lower in England than
in Prussia, although England stands in this respect at
almost exactly the same distance from Prussia today
(1917) as thirty years ago, the fall having occurred at
the same rate in both countries. It is quite possible that
in the future it may become more rapid in Prussia than
in England, for the birth-rate of Berlin is lower than the
birth-rate of London, and urbanization is proceeding at
a more rapid rate in Germany than in England."</p>
<p>It is not difficult to arrive at the psychological reason
underlying this great change in public opinion, as manifested
in this second stage. In the first place, the wonderful
era of world-expansion was arrested, by natural
causes well understood by students of sociology. The
ambitious dreams of world-empires were rudely interrupted.
Moreover, public opinion was being affected by
a quiet education along the lines of sociology and
economics.</p>
<p>The working classes began to perceive, on the one
hand, the tendency of overpopulation to hold down, or
even decrease, the scale of wages. The evils of over-production,
and of under-consumption were dimly perceived.
And, on the other hand, the capitalists began to
perceive that another factor was at work—one which they
had failed to include in their optimistic calculations. Instead
of the cheaper wage rate which they had expected<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_148" id="Page_148">{148}</SPAN></span>
by reason of the over-abundance of human material, they
found that the growth of popular education in the democratic
countries had caused the working classes to demand
greater comforts of life, and to oppose the cheapening
of human labor. And at the same time, the masses
began to revolt against the idea of raising children to
become "cannon fodder" for ambitious autocratic rulers.
The masses began to protest against selling their labor
and their lives so cheaply.</p>
<p>These changed viewpoints of the working classes
began to result in attempts on their part to form associations
to resist the tendency on the part of capitalists to
force down the scale of wages to fit the increased population.
Trade unions flourished and became powerful,
and the same impulse carried many into the ranks of
socialism, and still beyond into the fold of anarchism and
syndicalism. And, here note this significant fact, with
these new perceptions and these new movements among
the masses, <b>the birth-rate began to fall rapidly</b>.</p>
<p>The writer above quoted from says of this period:
"The pessimists were faced by horrors on both sides. On
the one hand, they saw that the ever-increasing rate of
human production which seemed to them the essential
condition of national, social, even moral progress, had
not only stopped but was steadily diminishing. On the
other hand, they saw that, even so far as it was maintained,
it involved, under modern conditions, nothing but
social commotion and economic disturbance. There are
still many pessimists of this class alive among us even
today, alike in England and Germany, but a new generation
is growing up, and this question is now entering
another phase."</p>
<p>It would seem that the race is now well started in
the third period, phase, or stage of this conception of
the birth-rate. Even the Great War is not likely to seriously
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_149" id="Page_149">{149}</SPAN></span>interrupt its ultimate progress, though conditions
in all civilized countries will unquestionably be disturbed
by the unusual conditions now prevailing and caused by
the great conflict. The spirit of this third stage seems
to be that the Truth is to be found between the two
extremes, viz.: (1) the extreme of passive optimism of
the first stage; and (2) the extreme of passive pessimism
of the second stage. It realizes that there is excellent
ground for hope in better things; but it equally realizes
that hope alone is vain, and will accomplish nothing
unless it is accompanied with and directed by a clear
intellectual vision manifested in individual and social
action based on that clear intellectual vision.</p>
<p>The writer above quoted from says of this developing
period: "It is today beginning to be seen that the old
notion of progress by means of reckless multiplication is
vain. It can only be effected at a ruinous cost of death,
disease, poverty, and misery. We see this in the past
history of Western Europe, as we still see it in the history
of Russia. Any progress effected along that line—if
'progress' it can be called—is now barred, for it is
utterly opposed to those democratic conceptions which
are ever gaining greater influence among us. Moreover,
we are now better able to analyze demographic phenomena,
and are no longer satisfied with any crude statements
regarding the birth-rate. We realize that they
need interpretation. They have to be considered in relation
to the sex-constitution and the age-constitution of
the population, and <b>above all, they must be viewed in relation
to the infant mortality rate</b>.</p>
<p>"The bad aspect of the French birth-rate is not so
much its lowness as that it is accompanied by a high
infantile mortality. The fact that the German birth-rate
is higher than the English ceases to be a matter of satisfaction
when it is realized that German infantile mortality
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_150" id="Page_150">{150}</SPAN></span>is vastly greater than English. <b>A high birth-rate is
no sign of a high civilization. But we are beginning to
feel that a high infantile death-rate is a sign of a very
inferior civilization. A low birth-rate with a low infant
death-rate not only produces the same increase in population
as a high birth-rate with a high death-rate, which
always accompanies it (for there are no examples of a
high birth-rate with a low death-rate), but it produces it
in a way which is far more worthy of our admiration in
this matter than the way of Russia and China where opposite
conditions prevail.</b>"</p>
<p>The evolutionary process which all students of sociology
clearly perceive to have been underway in the matter
of the attitude of public opinion toward the birth-rate,
and which is now underway with increased impetus, is
perceived to be a natural process. It is a natural process
which has been underway from the beginning of the
living world. For a long time it operated and manifested
along unconscious and instinctive lines of activity, but
now it has emerged into the light of human consciousness
and manifests along the lines of conscious, voluntary, and
deliberate human action.</p>
<p>In its present state of evolutionary progress human
thought along these lines has found expression in what
is generally known as "Birth Control." The process
which has been working slowly through the ages, attaining
every new forward step with waste and pain, is
henceforth destined to be carried out voluntarily, in the
light of human reason, foresight, and self-restraint. The
rise of Birth Control may be said to correspond with the
rise of social and sanitary science in the first half of the
nineteenth century, and to be indeed an essential part of
that movement.</p>
<p>The new doctrine of Birth Control is now firmly established
in all the most progressive and enlightened countries
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_151" id="Page_151">{151}</SPAN></span>of Europe, notably in France and England; in Germany,
where formerly the birth-rate was very high,
Birth Control has developed with extraordinary rapidity
during the present century. In Holland its principles
and practice are freely taught by physicians and nurses
to the mothers of the people, with the result that there
is in Holland no longer any necessity for unwanted
babies, and this small country possesses the proud privilege
of the lowest death-rate in Europe.</p>
<p>In the free and enlightened Democratic communities
on the other side of the globe, in Australia and New Zealand,
the same principles and practice are generally accepted,
with the same beneficent results. On the other
hand, in the more backward and ignorant countries of
Europe, Birth Control is still little known, and death
and disease flourish. This is the case in those eight European
countries which come at the bottom of the list of
the Birth Control scale, and in which the birth-rate is the
highest and the death-rate the heaviest—the two rates
maintaining such a constant correspondence as to lead to
the inevitable conclusion that they are associated as cause
and effect.</p>
<p>But even in the more progressive countries Birth Control
has not been established without a struggle, which
has frequently ended in a hypocritical compromise, its
principles being publicly ignored or denied and its practice
privately accepted. For, at the great and vitally
important point in human progress which Birth-Control
represents, we see really the conflict of two moralities.
The morality of the ancient world is here confronted by
the morality of the new world.</p>
<p>The old morality, knowing nothing of science and the
process of Nature as worked out in the evolution of life,
contented itself with assuming as a basis the early chapters
of Genesis in which the children of Noah are represented
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_152" id="Page_152">{152}</SPAN></span>as entering an empty earth which it is their business
to populate diligently. So it came about that for
this morality, still innocent of eugenics, recklessness was
almost a virtue. Children were held to be given by God;
if they died or were afflicted by congenital disease, it was
the dispensation of God, and, whatever imprudence the
parents might commit, the pathetic faith still ruled that
"God will provide."</p>
<p>But in the new morality it is realized that in these
matters Divine action can only be made manifest in
human action, that is to say through the operation of
our own enlightened reason and resolved will. Prudence,
foresight, self-restraint—virtues which old morality
looked down upon with benevolent contempt—assume
a position of first importance. In the eyes of the new
morality the ideal woman is no longer the meek drudge
condemned to endless and often ineffectual child-bearing,
but the free and instructed woman, able to look before
and after, trained in a sense of responsibility alike to
herself and to the race, and determined to have no children
but the best.</p>
<p>Such were the two moralities which came into conflict
during the nineteenth century. They are irreconcilable
and each firmly rooted, one in ancient religion and tradition,
the other in progressive science and reason. Nothing
was possible in such a clash of opposing ideas but a
feeble and confused compromise such as we find still
prevailing in various countries of Old Europe. This is
not a satisfactory solution, however inevitable, and is
especially unsatisfactory by the consequent obscurantism
which placed difficulties in the way of spreading a knowledge
of the methods of Birth Control among the masses of
the population. For the result has been that while the
more enlightened and educated have exercised a control
over the size of their families, the poorer and more ignorant<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_153" id="Page_153">{153}</SPAN></span>—those
who should have been offered every facility
and encouragement to follow in the same path—have
been left, through a conspiracy of silence, to carry on
helplessly the bad customs of their forefathers. This
social neglect has had the result that the superior family
stocks have been tampered by the recklessness of the
inferior stocks.</p>
<p>In America, we find the two moralities in active conflict
today. Until recently America has meekly accepted
at the hand of Old Europe the traditional prescription.
On the surface, the ancient morality had been complacently,
almost unquestionably, accepted in America, even
to the extent of tacitly permitting the existence of a
vast extension of abortion, under the surface of society—
a criminal practice which ever flourishes where Birth
Control is neglected.</p>
<p>But today, a new movement is perceptible in America.
It would seem that, almost in a flash, America has awakened
to the true significance of the issue. With that direct
vision of hers, that swift practicality of action, and above
all, that sense of the democratic nature of all social progress,
we see her resolutely beginning to face this great
problem. In her vigorous tongue she is demanding
"What is all this secrecy about, anyway? Let us turn on
the Light!" And the best authorities agree that America's
answer to the demand will be of the greatest importance,
and of immense significance to the whole world.</p>
<p>In concluding this portion of our discussion, I ask my
readers to consider the following quotations from writers
who have touched upon the question of the stimulation of
the birth-rate by the State, for the purpose of military
policy. These quotations speak for themselves, and need
but little comment.</p>
<p>The first authority, a German, whose name has escaped
me for the moment, laments the falling birth-rate in his<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_154" id="Page_154">{154}</SPAN></span>
country, and urges his own nation to stimulate it by offering
bounties; he says: "Woe to us if we follow the example
of the wicked and degenerate people of other
nations. Our nation needs men. We have to populate the
earth, and to carry the blessings of our Kultur all over
the world. In executing that high mission we cannot have
too much human material in defending ourselves against
the aggression of other nations who are jealous of us and
our achievements and progress. Let us promote parentage
by law; let us repress by law every influence which
may encourage a falling birth-rate; otherwise there is
nothing left us but speedy national disaster, complete and
irremediable."</p>
<p>Havelock Ellis, an Englishman, says: "In Germany
for years past it has been difficult to take up a serious
periodical without finding some anxiously statistical article
about the falling birth-rate, and some wild recommendations
for its arrest. For it is the militaristic German
who of all Europeans is most worried by this fall;
indeed Germans often even refuse to recognize it. Thus
today we find Professor Gruber declaring that if the
population of the German Empire continues to grow at
the rate of the first five years of the present century, it
will have reached 250,000,000 at the end of the century.
By such a vast increase in population, the Professor complacently
concludes, 'Germany will be rendered invulnerable.'
But Gruber's estimate is entirely fallacious.
German births have fallen, roughly speaking, about 1 per
1,000 of the population, every year since the beginning of
the century, and it would be equally reasonable to estimate
that if they continue to fall at the present rate
(which we cannot, of course, anticipate) births will altogether
have ceased in Germany before the end of the
century. The German birth-rate reached its climax forty
years ago (1871-1880) with 40.7 per 1,000; in 1906 it was<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_155" id="Page_155">{155}</SPAN></span>
34 per 1,000; in 1909 it was 31 per 1,000; in 1912 it was
28 per 1,000; in an almost measurable period of time, in
all probability before the end of the century, it will have
reached the same low level as that of France, when there
will be but little difference between the 'invulnerability'
of France and of Germany, a consummation which, for
the world's sake, is far more devoutly to be wished than
that anticipated by Gruber."</p>
<p>Writers of Teutonic sympathies have asserted that the
aggressive attitude of Germany at the beginning of the
Great War was to be legitimately explained and apologized
for on the ground that the War was the inevitable
expansive outcome of the abnormally high birth-rate of
Germany in recent times. Dr. Dernburg, the German
statesman, said not very long ago: "The expansion of
the German nation has been so extraordinary during the
past twenty-five years that the conditions existing before
the war had become insupportable." Another writer has
said: "Of later years there has arisen a movement among
German women for bringing abortion into honor and
repute, so that it may be carried out openly and with the
aid of the best physicians. This movement has been supported
by lawyers and social reformers of high position."</p>
<p>Thus, it would seem that a birth-rate stimulated by
unusual circumstances or by deliberate State encouragement,
seemingly draws upon it the operation of natural
laws which tend to increase its death-rate by War, as well
as by an increased number of abortions, and an increased
death-rate. It would seem as natural laws operate
to bring down the population to normal by war if the
other factors do not operate sufficiently rapidly and
efficiently.</p>
<p>Havelock Ellis makes the following interesting statement:
"If we survey the belligerent nations in the war
we may say that those who took the initiative in drawing<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_156" id="Page_156">{156}</SPAN></span>
it on, or at all events were most prepared to welcome it,
were Germany, Austria, Serbia, and Russia—all nations
with a high birth-rate, and in which the fall of the birth-rate
has not yet had time to permeate. On the other
hand, of the belligerent peoples of today, all indications
point to the French as the people most intolerant, silently
but deeply, of the war they are so ably and heroically
waging. Yet the France of the present, with the lowest
birth-rate, was a century ago the France of a birth-rate
higher than that of Germany today, and at that time the
most militarist and aggressive of nations, a perpetual
menace to Europe."</p>
<p>Finally, let us quote Havelock Ellis once more; he
says: "When we realize these facts we are also enabled
to realize how futile, how misplaced and how mischievous
it is to raise the cry of 'Race Suicide.' It is futile because
no outcry can affect a world-wide movement of civilization.
It is misplaced because the rise and fall of the
population is not a matter of birth-rate alone, but of the
birth-rate combined with the death-rate, and while we
cannot expect to touch the former we can influence the
latter. It is mischievous because by fighting against a
tendency which is not only inevitable but altogether
beneficial, we blind ourselves to the advance of civilization
and risk the misdirection of our energies. How far
this blindness may be carried we see in the false patriotism
of those who in the decline of the birth-rate, fancy
they see the ruin of their own particular country, oblivious
of the fact that we are concerned with a phenomenon
of world-wide extension. The whole tendency of civilization
is to reduce the birth-rate. We may go further, and
assert with the distinguished German economist, Roscher,
that the chief cause of the superiority of a highly civilized
state over lower stages of civilization is precisely a
greater degree of forethought and self-control in marriage
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_157" id="Page_157">{157}</SPAN></span>and child-bearing. Instead of talking about Race
Suicide, we should do well to observe at what an appalling
rate, even yet, the population is increasing; and we
should note that it is everywhere the poorest and most
primitive countries, and in every country (as in Germany)
the poorest regions, which show the highest birth-rate."</p>
<p>The same authority says: "One last resort the would-be
patriotic alarmist seeks when all others fail. He is
good enough to admit that a general decline in the birth-rate
might be beneficial. But, he points out, it affects
social classes unequally. It is initiated, not by the degenerate
and unfit, with whom we could well dispense,
but by the very best classes in the community, the well-to-do
and the educated. One is inclined to remark, at
once, that a social change initiated by its best social class
is scarcely likely to be pernicious. Where, it may be
asked, if not among the most educated classes, is any
process of amelioration to be initiated? We cannot make
the world topsy-turvy to suit the convenience of topsy-turvy
minds. All social movements tend to begin at the
top and to permeate downwards. This has been the case
with the decline of the birth-rate, but it is already well
marked among the working classes, and has only failed to
touch the lowest stratum of all, too weak-minded and too
reckless to be amenable to ordinary social motives. The
rational method of meeting this situation is not a propaganda
in favor of procreation—a truly imbecile propaganda,
since it is only carried out and only likely to be
carried out, by the very class which we wish to sterilize—but
rather by a wise policy of regulative eugenics. We
have to create the motives, and it is not an impossible
task, which will act even upon the weak-minded and
reckless lowest social stratum."</p>
<p><span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_158" id="Page_158">{158}</SPAN></span></p>
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